Link Library

This is where I save interesting links.


  • K-12 Education Spending

    There is very little more essential to a free society than universal literacy and adequate public education. It is a civil rights issue. It is the foundation for absolutely everything else.

    To fail here is to lastingly abandon a significant fraction of our children to a lifelong struggle.

    Quote is from The Argument’s post in September on the Mississippi Miracle.

    Following thoughts are from: https://reason.org/k12-ed-spending/2025-spotlight/

    • The funding metric they focus on is $/student spent
    • That’s been going up sharply from their measured years: 2002 – 2023
    • Funding is increasingly going towards teacher benefits, not salary: “for every new $1 that public schools spent on employee salaries between 2002 and 2023, benefit expenditures rose by $3.27.”
    • The benefit expenditure is largely going towards paying teacher pension commitments that have been underfunded
    • “bulk of new K-12 hires were non-teachers, which increased by 22.8%, such as counselors, social workers, speech pathologists, and instructional aides”
      • number of teachers rose 7.6% during from 2002-2023
      • they make a note that the most well-funded states have lost a lot of students (e.g. CA -318,532 since 2020) but had added more non-teaching staff members (e.g. CA 3,400) at the same time
        • doesn’t immediately make me think it’s some sin to hire more staff, even non-teachers, even while losing students, because the education environment is so complex and changing (much different than when I was in high school (2008-2011)) that this may be a necessary inconvenience to combat dynamic issues
        • meaning, if you look at this as a whole, spending more money for the administrative state, while losing students, doesn’t sound good. but, what, and who, it takes to serve a population of students with challenges like The Phones, anxiety, low-belief in a good future, etc. may be necessary
    • The brain drain in Vermont & New Hampshire’s public schools…?
      • Vermont growth rate from 2002-2023: -17.3%, and from 2020-2023: -3.6%
      • New Hampshire growth rate from 2002-2023: -18.3%, and from 2020-2023: -4.8%
    • Real salaries are declining: average fell from $75,151 in 2002 to $70,548 in 2022
      • Most of that % drop happened during the COVID-19 pandemic
      • Declined most in NC!! -9.6%
    • Over this same period, while teacher salaries didn’t rise, “public school revenue grew by 25%”
    • They cite a theory on why salaries didn’t grow, but say it’s unconfirmed:
      • “Because teacher pay is tied to years of experience and educational attainment—and teacher salaries vary substantially by state—it’s also possible that demographic shifts in the teacher population contributed to the observed trends. However, available federal data make it difficult to draw firm conclusions. While the share of teachers with over 20 years of experience has declined, educational attainment has increased, with the proportion of teachers holding only a bachelor’s degree falling over time.”
    • Inflation probably also ate up teacher salaries
    • Their conclusion: strong headwinds, use funding wisely to face them

    My basic takeaway is:

    Funding is pretty much up across the board. Revenue is up (don’t know what generates revenue). Enrollment is down. Staff growth is majority in non-teacher roles. I’m interested in how necessary that is based on the current slate of challenges young people face. It’s not obvious to me that more funding = bad or that less funding = better educational results. But, it seems important that a growing % of the funding should go towards higher real teacher pay and better educational results. My guess is talent is probably one of the primary things that would solve this: smart, kind, and effective people running these schools and districts.


    This all relates to the Mississippi Miracle. Mississippi’s in the top 20 of $/student spent, though much lower overall to the top 5 spenders, but they’re also seeing strong educational results specifically in reading.

    The post I read on the Mississippi Miracle says the three things that worked, and worked in Louisiana and Tennessee and a few other southern states too, were:

    1. teach phonics, instead of the whole language method (looking at sentence context and then guessing at the word).
    2. require elementary school teachers be trained on the science of reading. lots of continuing training for teacher goes to waste (according to the post) but this ensures it’s worth it.
    3. accountability: “clear accountability at the district level, at the school level, at the educator level, and at the student and parent level”
      • “In Mississippi, a child who isn’t capable of reading at the end of third grade has to repeat the grade — a policy called third grade retention.”

    Probably hard to know how much of the Mississippi Miracle in reading is related to their amount of funding, and how much it’s gone up, but the folks recounting the success don’t just say: money did it.


  • On reading

    Found this interesting. I don’t check as many books out from the library because they feel impermanent that way.


  • World War AI

    https://www.epsilontheory.com/world-war-ai


  • How to Understand Things

    An essay from pandemic times. Which has some uncomfortable realities in it. Mainly, good thinking requires more focus, more curiosity, less concern about what others think, and so on.

    https://substack.com/home/post/p-111014900

    People who have not experienced the thing are unlikely to be generating truth. More likely, they’re resurfacing cached thoughts and narratives. Reading popular science books or news articles is not a substitute for understanding, and may make you stupider, by filling your mind with narratives and stories that don’t represent your own synthesis.


  • Confidently Wrong

    Uh oh. This spells trouble for the staunchly, and always, anti-expert crowd. Most of them are on Twitter and host podcasts (of which I listen to).

    Most importantly on this issue:

    The authors suggest leaning on social norms and respected community figures instead.


  • The Monks in the Casino

    The Monks in the Casino by Derek Thompson

    A brief theory of young men, “the loneliness crisis,” and life in the 21st century

    Read on Substack


  • The Church Better Start Taking Nazification Seriously

    “We have a choice. The Bible will not sit alongside Mein Kampf. The cross will not yield to the swastika. We must ask right now: Jesus or Hitler? We cannot have both.”

    What an unfortunate reality the American church, and evangelical movement specifically, will need to be confronting now.

    I remember reading a decent amount of Russell Moore in Trump 1 but have since forgotten about him. He’s still fighting the mainstream of his own movement it seems.

    I pray this turns around.


  • Baby Shoggoth is Listening

    This subject is interesting to me. I find I don’t get particularly drawn up in the subject of legacy, but the framing of impacting the AIs by showing it who you are and what you find important is interesting.

    I don’t think I’d say that I have to write so that the AIs know me. I’ll be focusing on my kids and Sadie and friends and the Valley knowing me. But, anyone who’s ever written and shared a word has wanted to impact someone or something through it.

    And this part of the blog I am drawn to: the only way to influence the Shoggoth is to write to it in a way that steers it and tells it who you are and what ideas are important to you.

    There’s some weird metaphysical angle that the author gets at, mainly if you write and the AIs find you could you be brought “back” into consciousness again? The author relates this to resurrection and being a Christian with the belief that there will be a new heaven and a new earth when God redeems the world through Christ’s return, I guess it’s not all that weird.

    I think I have a high discount rate on this though.

    Right now, I’m writing primarily in order to 1) make sense of all that comes before me and around me in some present period of time and 2) leave my kids a central place to discover that thinking and writing when and if they want to.

    I guess along the way I can afford some attention to “writing for the AIs”. For what purpose? I’m not sure. But, a small amount of effort doesn’t feel wasted to me.

    This on the “sci-fi form of Pascal’s Wager” makes some sense to me, so perhaps that’s the understanding from which I write a couple of words for the AIs:

    “Something similar can help for the question of resurrection. There is, shall we say, a distinct lack of certainty about that, too. If you believe that a human is basically a biological computer, a belief I resisted until recently, then it stands to reason that some supercomputer in the distant future will figure out how to emulate us like a PC now emulates a Super Nintendo. If you don’t believe that, well, laugh away, as I did until I changed my mind. And if you don’t know what you believe, here’s where familiar moral thinking might be further applied. It might even tip things in the “sure, why not” direction, because heard this way, the question sounds much like a sci-fi form of Pascal’s wager. Pascal argued that even if God’s existence is uncertain, belief is rational: The cost of being wrong—wasted piety—is finite, whereas the reward of being right—salvation—is infinite. Here, the calculation looks like this: If digital resurrection exists and you wrote yourself down, you or your near-analog get infinite or near-infinite life; if it doesn’t, you’re dead anyway, and have merely wasted some time. Worst-case scenario? You’ve written something for the here and now that humans can read and appreciate.


  • “The end of our extremely online era”

    We will be lucky if this comes true (is what my gut tells me), and it can start now in my own life if I’m willing.

    To deny all of the social media and scrolling and “extremely online” behavior is, right now I think, an extremist position.

    Some things are worth being an extremist over, until the tide turns are you’re apart of “the middle” again – average.

    Uncomfortably numb, but praying the next flick of the thumb will be the one.

    &

    We will look back on these times with a compassionate sadness. Shake our heads at how ignorant and naive we all were, to give up so much for so little.


  • Living without a phone for 30 days

    Well, now I want to try this: