From Rohit Krishnan in Freethink (new to me).
If Pascal’s Wager can be applied the “when AGI”, and I think it certainly can be, it feels wiser to me to assume the kind of thinking below is more likely than not.

What to do about that? I have no idea. I don’t see myself rapidly “retooling” and “upskilling” my career at the moment – both feel mysterious as to how and in what direction – so if we are 1-5 years away from this massive upheaval it is currently coming at me and I’m not sure what I’m ‘doing’.
I continue to think that opting to be more human (analog vs. synthetic) is the smartest gamble. Perhaps now is the best time to do the oldest things that humans have always found interesting: Write a book, keep a garden, and see what the body is capable of (running for me).