Tag: united-states

  • Always beware a declining superpower

    Good post from Janan Ganesh at the Financial Times on how superpowers take decline (not well) and how the U.S. decline can’t really compared to Britain or France’s power decline after WW2 because that transfer was from West to West and demographically pretty similar, while this one would not be. He also says we’ve been…

  • U.S. interventions in the New World, with leader removal

    https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2026/01/u-s-interventions-in-the-new-world-with-leader-removal.html The Venezuala thing is a great Bayesian opportunity: Have a prior, update as it develops. The prior would be, Yeah seems like this never works. Though, in Tyler’s recounting above, there are some counterfactuals to that common expression/belief. I couldn’t coherently speak through them, but nonetheless. I’m of two minds on this as it…