Tag: major-events

  • 2026 U.S. Midterms: Preface to a New Chapter?

    It seems as if even the most ambitious polls projecting a Democratic turn in the Congress and Senate had not priced in last nights results. A Republican incumbent governor in Texas – yes, that Texas – was defeated. Kansas is sending a Democratic senator to Washington for the first time since, I believe, 1932. There…

  • Black October, 2026

    As a lay-man, I know not the weight of this, but I do pick up the signal from someone like this that it’s not good. Brave New World. https://mili.dev/writing/black-october

  • Hitler in the Bunker Meme: Iran

    “Iran’s all mountains and 90 million scientists! I thought they were dumb like us!”

  • What I Definitely Don’t Know but Definitely Suspect

    Narrative vs. Molecules To say that there is much that I don’t understand about the markets and the real world would be comically overselling myself. In this way, I’m too much of a rationalist. My impression was actions is that there should be legible and tangible outcomes; Newton’s 3rd law, equal and opposite reactions. Perhaps,…

  • I’ve Been Thinking About the Strait of Hormuz.

    I’ve been thinking a lot about the Strait of Hormuz recently. What would you do if it closed? That’s probably not even the primary question: you didn’t even know it existed a month ago. How many layers, then, do you pull back to start trying to understand what you would do if it closed when…

  • What’s Rational vs. What’s Real

    I bought a decent amount (for us) of crypto in late 2021 (“bad” time) and held it through the whole bear market and next bull market, until last Tuesday when I decided to sell it hours before President Trump’s threat to kill 90 million people in Iran. 4 years isn’t that much time spent in…

  • Something like: “Sober up, something is happening.”

    There is tension in everything. This is the grounding the theory I have currently. If there is a way the world works, I would say it has something to do with tension. Tension in the sense that most of our experiences, consumables, and relationships are connected to each other thing and they’re in constant push…

  • Clawed

    https://twitter.com/deanwball/article/2028464782622195992 From Dean Ball I tend to agree with the direction where-we-are and where-we-are-headed that this piece is offering: “At some point during my lifetime—I am not sure when—the American republic as we know it began to die. Like most natural deaths, the causes are numerous and interwoven. No one incident, emergency, attack, president, political…

  • The Bots are Awakening

    Things are heating up. AIs have created their own social network. They’re coordinating. Learning from one another. Hard to appreciate how really very interesting and weird this is. I’ve been interacting with OpenClaw bot through Telegram in the last day, trying to figure out what it is, you know, so as not to be Left-Behind-Guy,…

  • The Religious Nihilists in Charge

    “The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command.” For some reason, the Trump 2.0 Administration has become a death cult. They’re a group of people who told the world for years that they believed, absolutely, in a few core things: And they absolutely…