Tag: major-events
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More Lawfare
“Lawfare is the hallmark of a failing state because it erodes not just political independence, but the capacity for independent judgment.” Probably not good. https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2026/01/chairman-powells-statement.html#comments
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U.S. interventions in the New World, with leader removal
https://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2026/01/u-s-interventions-in-the-new-world-with-leader-removal.html The Venezuala thing is a great Bayesian opportunity: Have a prior, update as it develops. The prior would be, Yeah seems like this never works. Though, in Tyler’s recounting above, there are some counterfactuals to that common expression/belief. I couldn’t coherently speak through them, but nonetheless. I’m of two minds on this as it…
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A meme to make sense of things
Watched this and immediately understood it. That COVID “ended” is sort of a misdirection. Or, it’s not the full expression of what we mean by COVID. Not for me anyways. “everything changed” – yeah, it did
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I’ve been chainsmoking again
This is another one in which the timeline and algorithm are uniformly serving up takes on this Trump post over and over. The result is me looking at Twitter all morning long just refreshing and seeing how it develops. It’s awful, and I know it’s awful. My refresh is some attempt to make this progress…
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After Hurricane Helene
We’re on the anniversary of Hurricane Helene. I posted this on an old blog a few days after and wanted to bring it here. What a year, man! Hard to be grateful for deeply painful and tragic things, but the second and third order effects of that day and the first weeks and two months…
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After Political Assassination
I still feel quite sad and down today. I have seen many thoughts on where we are as a country and how the assassination of Charlie Kirk yesterday makes our state of things even more precarious. I do not wish to participate in a doomsday sort of reflection, but I can’t help but think that…
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Today is another step change
Today, there was an assassination attempt on Charlie Kirk. This is horrific. It’s devastating. And, unbelievably, there will be mixed emotions on the internet about it. This kind of political violence has the signatures of “last days of the empire” type events. Political actors who think there’s nothing left to do than burn it all…